No idea. Trying to predict who will do what in gymnastics even one year out from the Olympic Games is almost pointless. Ours is a quick-change sport. To prove this, let's revisit the things that seemed sure two years ago on this day.
Two years ago...
-- Katelyn Ohashi was considered the U.S.'s top contender for Rio.
-- Nobody had ever heard of Claudia Fragapane.
-- The Fierce Five were everywhere.
-- McKayla Maroney was not impressed.
-- It seemed like Aliya Musatfina's bar routine couldn't possibly get any more difficult.
-- We were all awed by Zou Kai's difficulty and Epke Zonderland's hair, even if a tad less impressed by their form.
-- People thought Amanars were, like, the most dangerous thing to land on vault.
-- The Chinese had stayed on the beam in Olympic finals while the Romanians had made mistakes. Were the planets misaligned or something?
-- Alexander Alexandrov was head coach of the Russian women's team.
-- All of a sudden, the British men were really, really good.
-- Simone Biles was something of a face in the crowd on the U.S. Junior scene. An above-average tumbler with an Amanar, but still a face in the crowd.
-- We thought Anna Pavlova would never compete in a big international competition again.
-- Six hundred thousand people had yet to watch Kenzo Shirai land four twists at the end of his floor routine on Youtube.
-- Kohei Uchimura was considered by many the best male gymnast who has ever lived.
Then again, some things don't change.