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Gradual shift toward warmer, more unsettled weather pattern to close the week

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Another in the series of weak upper level disturbances will cross the region today, bringing chances for a scattered snow shower or flurry through the day to the west and north of the Capital Region. The disturbance will act to keep the low level winds elevated a bit, before a tendency toward a decrease in wind speeds occurs this evening.

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Weak high pressure builds into the region overnight tonight, allowing skies to clear. Temperatures will not be as low tonight as they have been the past few nights. In fact, as the high pressure ridge anchors itself over the Atlantic Ocean through the next few days, the Capital Region will experience a warm up as winds shift around to the west and southwest.

With the warm up, unfortunately, will come the chances for precipitation. An elongated frontal boundary looks to set up from the central and southern plains to the Great Lakes through the coming weekend. Several low pressure ripples look to form along this boundary, with a few passing right over, or just to the north of, the immediate Capital Region. The majority of this potentially prolonged event looks to feature temperatures warm enough for all rain, with the exception of Friday, where precipitation may begin in a wintry mixed bag of snow, sleet, and/or freezing rain before enough warm air invades to change the precipitation over to all liquid.

As the Christmas holiday week approaches, the system looks to exit the region by Monday, leaving some residual rain and/or snow shower activity (some may be lake effect in origin), and increased breezes. A brief lull in the action looks to occur around the Christmas Eve time frame, with generally dry, colder, and blustery conditions prevailing.

...Below is the official forecast for the Capital Region and vicinity...

Today: A stray morning flurry possible, otherwise mostly cloudy and breezy. High near 30. West winds 5-15 MPH.

Tonight: Mostly clear to start, with increasing clouds after midnight. Low 15-20. Southwest winds 10 MPH or less.

Thursday: Increasing clouds. High in the upper 30’s. Southwest winds 5-15 MPH.

Thursday Night: Cloudy with a chance of snow, sleet, and/or freezing rain after midnight. Low near 30. Light south to southwest winds. Chance of precipitation is 30 percent.

Friday: A mix of snow, sleet, and/or freezing rain early, changing to all rain during the morning. High in the mid 40’s. South winds 5-15 MPH. Chance of precipitation is 60 percent. Minor accumulations of snow and/or ice possible prior to the changeover to all rain.

Saturday: A 60 percent chance of rain and/or rain showers. High near 45 and low near 35.

Sunday: A 60 percent chance of rain and/or rain showers. High near 50 and low near 40.

Monday: A 40 percent chance of rain showers early, changing to snow showers. Breezy. High near 45 and low near 20.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny and breezy. High near 30 and low near 15.

Useful links...

Capital Region Weather Examiner Home Page
Capital Region Weather Examiner Facebook page
Current Surface Weather Map
Weather Prediction Center (WPC) Surface Weather Map 48 hour loop forecast

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