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Fox News poll shows Hillary Clinton leads Republicans by wide margin

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Yesterday Fox News released the most recent in a long line of polls which shows former Secretary of State and U.S. Senator Hillary Clinton leads all major potential GOP challengers in a potential 2016 presidential election matchup. The poll includes a sample of 1,012 voters and was conducted from April 13 to April 15.

Clinton indicated in early April that she was “thinking about” running in 2016, but that she will still be “thinking about it for a while” before she makes a decision. According to the Fox News poll she is the overwhelming favorite to win the Democratic Party nomination should she decide to run. The poll shows Clinton garnering 69 percent of the vote nationwide in a Democratic primary, with Vice President Joe Biden garnering just 14 percent and Elizabeth Warren receiving just 6 percent.

The Fox News Poll has Chris Christie as the favorite for the Republican Party nomination garnering 15 percent of potential voters in the 2015 primary. Rand Paul, Mike Huckabee and Jeb Bush are all closely behind Christie with 14 percent of the vote. The other candidates in the running are Paul Ryan with 9 percent, Marco Rubio with 8 percent, and Ted Cruz with 7 percent.

Fox News then went on to ask who voters would choose in a general election matchup of Clinton versus Rand Paul, Jeb Bush, and Chris Christie.

Against New Jersey Governor Chris Christie Clinton garnered 50 percent of the vote compared to 42 percent for Christie. This result matches up well with the Real Clear Politics average of polls which shows Clinton leading with 50.3 percent of the vote against 41.3 percent for Christie.

Against former Florida Governor Jeb Bush the Fox News poll shows Clinton leading with 51 percent compared to 42 percent for Paul. Once again, this result matches up well with the Real Clear Politics average of polls which shows Clinton with 50.0 percent compared to 39.5 percent for Bush.

Against U.S. Senator Rand Paul from Kentucky the Fox News poll shows Clinton leading with 51 percent over Paul’s 42 percent. The Real Clear Politics average of polls has Clinton with 50.7 percent of the vote compared to 41.3 percent for Paul.

The Fox News poll did not matchup Clinton against Huckabee, Ryan, or Cruz, but there the numbers would likely be even more favorable for Clinton.

Against Huckabee the Real Clear Politics average of polls currently has Clinton leading by 12.4 percent (52.7 percent for Clinton versus 40.3 percent for Huckabee). Some believe that Huckabee’s more conservative views on abortion and gay marriage would not play well in a national election.

Against Ryan the Real Clear Politics has Clinton leading by 9.3 percent (51.3 percent versus 42.0 percent). Ryan has name recognition from being Mitt Romney’s vice presidential pick in 2012, but he may have already been defined by that candidacy as well.

Finally, against Cruz the Real Clear Politics average of polls has Clinton leading by 14 points (52.3 percent versus 38.3 percent). Cruz is very conservative, which tends to work well in places like his home state of Texas, but may not work in swing states crucial in a presidential election.



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