The Washington Post concluded on Sunday that it looks very likely that the Republicans are going to take over the Senate this November. The first order of business, according to the Hill, will be a vote or series of votes to repeal Obamacare. The House has already done that multiple times. But now it looks like that 2015 will start with repeal bills actually making it to President Obama’s desk. It is likely he will veto each and every one of them, of course, but that is part of the strategy.
Forcing the president to uphold a still unpopular law sets up an issue for 2016. This will be especially true considering that three Republican senators, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, and Rand Pail are all thinking of running for president. Leading a fight to get rid of Obamacare would be part of a resume that can be taken to disaffected voters to make the case for their becoming president.
Of course repeal of Obamacare will likely be accompanied by some kind of free market health care reform. Add to that the possibilities of tax reform, entitlement reform, increases in military spending, and a hundred other attempts to upend the Obama legacy and we can look forward to open warfare between the two sides of Pennsylvania Avenue. The “do nothing Congress” will clash with the “failed president” for the prize of which narrative is most believed by American voters.
And don’t forget investigations. A Republican Senate will join the House is taking its government oversight responsibilities seriously. The environment is target rich. From Benghazi to the IRS to NSA snooping, the prospects for making the lives of Obama administration officials are endless. Here too potential presidential candidates, especially Ted Cruz who has court trained interrogation skills, will take the opportunity to shine.
One thing that is not likely to happen is impeachment. Though from a legal and moral standpoint President Obama deserves it many times over, the real high crime and misdemeanor, which is to say having the majority of the voters wanting one gone immediately, has not yet been reached. Barring a catastrophe on the scale of 9/11 or the revelation that Obama did something really terrible, like personally order Lois Lerner to go after the Tea Party, it is not likely to.