While August has been relatively quiet when it comes to tropical weather the historically busy month of September is just around the corner. Right in line with that expectation come a couple of weather systems that will bear watching over the next few days.
First off in the mid-Atlantic is what the National Hurricane describes in the Friday tropical update is a tropical wave about 900 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. While forecaster Eric Blake notes that this system is moving west, the area of the Atlantic it's moving toward is not favorable for development and it has only a 20 percent chance of becoming a tropical cyclone over the next 5 days.
The next system stands a better chance of strengthening into a tropical system according to Blake. "A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave is producing showers and thundershowers over western Africa. This system should move westward over the far eastern Atlantic Ocean on Friday and near the Cape Verde Islands late Saturday. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development and a tropical depression could form over the weekend."
The system is on a west-northwesterly course and Blake gives it a 50 percent chance of intensifying into a tropical cyclone over the next 5 days but conditions are still less than ideal in the mid-Atlantic for tropical systems and it's too soon to tell if we're seeing the early stages of what could become Tropical Storm Gabrielle. As always with disturbed weather systems so far out in the Atlantic watchful waiting is in order.