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Earnings forecast: the week starting Jan. 31 2011

In spite of disappointing earnings reports from Dow Jones giants in previous week, all stock market indexes got significant gains. The Dow Jones Industrial Average even breaks several times sensational 12000 points resistance.

More than several hundreds companies are reporting financial data next week. Below is a partial fundamental and technical analysis the most important of them.

AOL Company (AOL) has to report its earnings 02/02/2011.

It is still offers dial-up Internet access services for a monthly fee to 5 million subscribers in the US. It operates a known Web portal serving users with an array of content and entertainment, including news, sports, games, music, video, and maps (MapQuest). It also boasts interactive services such as e-mail and instant messaging. Its ad-supported content business operates through its AOL Advertising, AOL Media and AOL Ventures units.

AOL belongs to technology sector that is in good shape at these days.

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Earnings estimates for 4 quarter is $0.425, previous year was $0.71.

In the 2009, the company was ahead of analyst expectation: actual EPS was $3.05 up 3.63%.

During last 5 quarters earnings estimates were beat.

Returns on Equity (ROE) Per Share are 7.31, on Assets (ROA) - 6.34, on Invested Capital - (ROIC) 7.27.

Daily chart shows 2 trends: one from middle of August until November previous year moving up and one from second week of November was moving down. Something happened in the company in November. Chart shows pivotal point and different price line pattern.

RSI* is sloping down. MACD** pointing to negative territory, its short line crossing long one and forming dead cross that is very bad sign.

OBV*** also moving down. The stock trading under its 50 day MA******* and looks like 200 day MA******* serves as support. In case the support will be broken price can go sink.

Three Line Break***** daily chart did not add nothing important, except that MACD long line already is above short one and indicator already located on the negative territory. The OBV oscillator is moving horizontally making positive divergence with price trend and giving hope for uptrend in closer future.

Exxon Mobil (XOM) has to report its earnings 01/31/2011.

Exxon Mobil is the world's largest oil company. By the way, it is ahead of Royal Dutch Shell and BP. It engages in oil and gas exploration, production, supply, transportation, and marketing worldwide. Its 37 refineries in 20 countries have a throughput capacity of 6.3 million barrels per day. The company supplies refined products to almost 28,000 gas stations in 100 countries.

For 4 previous years estimates were beat.

For last 5 quarters, estimates were behind expectations twice.

Return on Equity (ROE) Per Share was 16.99, on Assets (ROA) - 10.35, on Invested Capital (ROIC) -15.59.

Daily price chart shows healthy uptrend. All indicators are pointing up. RSI is on the oversold territory alias. Candlesticks are far from 50 and 200-day MA lines, and from some point have to start moving back. Question is when that will occur. Harami candlestick pattern hints that trend has to change soon.

Chart shows negative divergence of price trend from all three indicators: they moving up but the slope have different angles. That is not a good sign.

PFIZER (PFE) has to report its earnings 02/1/2011.

The company is the world's largest research-based pharmaceuticals firm. Its best-known products include cholesterol-lowering Lipitor, pain management drugs Celebrex and Lyrica, pneumonia vaccine Prevnar, high-blood-pressure therapy Norvasc, and erectile dysfunction treatment Viagra.

It belongs to Healthcare sector.

In 5 previous years earnings were behind estimates only once.

The same results are for 5 last quarters.

Return on Equity (ROE) Per Share was 12.51, on Assets (ROA) - 4.49, on Invested Capital (ROIC) - 8.81.

Price chart shows 3 trends: downtrend from middle of October to start December 2010, uptrend from start December 2010 to beginning of 2011, and consolidation area from middle of January 2011 until today. RSI, OBV and MACD are moving down and making negative divergence with price.

Three Line chart shows the same picture. Negative divergence is warning about correction.

GANNETT INC (GCI) has to report its earnings 01/31/2011.

The company is the biggest newspaper publisher in the US with about 85 daily papers boasting a total circulation of about 5.7 million. USA TODAY has a circulation of 1.8 million, is the nation's second-largest newspaper that is only behind the Wall Street Journal. The company also owns about 650 non-daily publications and more than 200 papers in the UK.

Gannett owns 23 television stations in about 20 markets.

Last 5 years and quarters, its estimates were beat.

Return on Equity (ROE) Per Share was 26.58, on Assets (ROA) - 9.74, on Invested Capital (ROIC) - 9.32.

GRACO INC (GGG) has to report its earnings 01/31/2011.

The company was founded in 1926. It manufactures fluid-handling equipment designed to move, measure, and control, dispense, and apply fluid materials. Products include pumps, applicators, spray guns, pressure washers, filters, valves, and accessories. Graco's customers include also automotive, construction equipment, and vehicle lubrication companies. Graco sells its products through independent distributors with approximately 30,000 outlets worldwide.

For last 5 years earnings estimates were not beat at 2007 and 2008.

Last 5 quarters the company earnings are ahead of estimates.

Return on Equity (ROE) Per Share was 26.99, on Assets (ROA) - 18.83, on Invested Capital (ROIC) - 14.89.

HONDA MOTOR LTD (HMC) has to report its earnings 01/31/2011.

This is Japan's biggest automaker and the world's largest motorcycle producer. The company's car models are Accord, CR-V, Civic, Element, and Ridgeline, gasoline-electric hybrid versions of the Civic and Accord. Company's line of motorcycles includes everything from scooters to super bikes. Honda's power products division makes commercial and residential machinery like lawn mowers, snow blowers, and tillers, portable generators and outboard motors. About 80% of Honda Motor sales are from outside Japan.

During last 5 years, the earnings were behind estimates only once.

K12 INC. Company (LRN) has to report its earnings 01/31/2011.

It offers online educational programs for 67,000 students. Products include online curriculum for public and private schools in 27 states and overseas. Web courses cover core subjects such as language arts, math, science, history, and art. K12 targets kids who underperforms in school or cannot attend school because of travel, disabilities, or because they are athletes or performers.

During last 3 years earnings were ahead of estimates. Last 5 quarters earnings were behind estimates only twice.

Return on Assets (ROA) was 4.94, on Invested Capital (ROIC) - 9.47.

MANPOWER (MAN) has to report its earnings 02/2/2011.

Manpower is one of the world's largest providers of temporary employees. About 4 million people in office, industrial, and professional positions places every year. It offers services through five different brands, including Manpower, Manpower Professional (accounting, finance, and engineering positions), Elan (technology professionals), and Jefferson Wells (accounting and finance). Manpower has 4,000 owned or franchised offices in 80 countries.

During last 5 years and quarters, earnings were ahead of estimates.

Return on Equity (ROE) Per Share was 0.38, on Assets (ROA) - 2.16, on Invested Capital (ROIC) - 0.92.

TIMBERLAND CO. (TBL) has to report its earnings 01/31/2011.

The company is known for making men's, women's, and kids' footwear. Timberland also makes outerwear, shirts, pants, socks, sunglasses, watches, and belts. Its brands include SmartWool, IPATH, and Timberland. The firm sells its products through about 220 company-owned stores and through department and athletic shops in Asia, Canada, Europe, Latin America, the Middle East, and the US.

Timberland belongs to Consumer Goods sector.

VISA INC. (V) has to report its earnings 02/2/2011.

The company operates the world's largest consumer payment system and it is ahead of MasterCard and American Express with 1.7 billion credit and other payment cards in circulation. It also provides its customers with debit cards, Internet payment systems, value-storing smart cards, and traveler's checks. Visa was formed in the 2007 merger of entities including Visa International, Visa Canada, and Visa U.S.A.; it went public the following year, raising $17 billion.

Visa belongs to Services sector that is close to leading group.

During 3 last years and 5 quarters its earnings ahead of estimates.

YUM BRANDS INC. (YUM) has to report its earnings 02/2/2011.

YUM is the largest fast-food operator in the world with more than 37,000 outlets in about 110 countries. The company include biggest chicken fryer KFC with more than 16,200 units, top pizza joint Pizza Hut and quick-service Mexican leader Taco Bell. Franchisees, affiliates, and licensed operators run about 80% of the company's restaurants.

YUM belongs to Services sector.

For last 5 years, the company was behind analyst’s estimates only once.

Return on Equity (ROE) Per Share was 226.41, on Assets (ROA) - 16.86, on Invested Capital (ROIC) - 30.90.

CVS CAREMARK CORPORATION (CVS) has to report its earnings 02/3/2011.

The nation's second largest drugstore chain has about 7,090 retail and specialty drugstores under the CVS and Longs Drug banners. CVS is growing rapidly through a string of acquisitions that included the Eckerd chain, stores from Albertsons, and most recently Longs Drug Stores. In 2007, CVS purchased prescription benefits management (PBM) firm Caremark Rx for about $26.5 billion.

During last 5 years, earnings were ahead of estimates.

Return on Equity (ROE) Per Share was 10.56, on Assets (ROA) - 6.15, on Invested Capital (ROIC) - 8.66.

DEUTSCHE BANK AG (DB) has to report its earnings 02/3/2011.

Deutsche Bank AG is one of the top financial groups in the world and the largest bank in Germany. It operates about 1,000 locations. It has 1,000 branches also in more than 70 countries in Europe, the Americas, Asia, the Pacific Rim, and Africa. Deutsche Bank operates through three primary segments: Corporate and Investment Bank, Corporate Investments, and Private Clients and Asset Management. It has E700 billion in assets under management.

During 5 last years, 3 times it was behind its estimates in 2005, 2008 and 2009.

Return on Equity (ROE) Per Share was 12.00, on Assets (ROA) - 0.45, on Invested Capital (ROIC) - 0.78.

MASTERCARD INC. (MA) has to report its earnings 02/3/2011.

Serving approximately 23,000 members financial institutions worldwide, MasterCard is the biggest payment system in the US. The company provides its services in more than 210 countries, and its cards are accepted at more than 29 million locations around the world.

During last 5 quarters only once it was behind its estimates.

MERCK & CO (MRK) has to report its earnings 02/03/2011.

The Merck, formerly known as Schering-Plough, makes medicines from stuffy noses and asthma to hypertension and arthritis. The pharmaceutical giant's top prescription drugs include asthma medication Singulair, anti-inflammatory Remicade, hypertension fighters Cozaar and Hyzaar, and cholesterol combatants Vytorin, Zetia, and Zocor. The company makes animal health pharmaceuticals also.

For last 5 years, it was not outperformed analysts estimates twice in 2006 and 2009.

Return on Equity (ROE) Per Share was 39.41, on Assets (ROA) - 10.66, on Invested Capital (ROIC) - 24.69.

Something occurred with Merk securities in the middle of January this year. Gap from that date is very big and telling about strong negative momentum. Again, some positive divergence exists between indicators and price movement. The angles of trends are differing. That is meant that at some level stock will stop to fall. What level will serves as support? Assume that chart shows two tops pattern. The distance from neck (blue line) and the top equals $3.00. Therefore, price has to fall until $31.00 (look at the chart).

Three Line daily price chart is making life easier: it shows very clear Head and Shoulder pattern, but without confirmation yet. The distance from top and neck of the pattern usually shows where the price will stop. Three Line chart hints to $30.00 level support.

MOODYS CORP. (MCO) has to report its earnings 02/3/2011.

The company provides credit ratings, research and credit risk management. It has two primary segments: Moody's Investor Services and Moody's Analytics. Moody's Investor Services published credit ratings on more than 100,000 commercial and government entities in 110 countries around the world. Moody's Analytics sells credit risk management software, provides portfolio management and training services for financial institutions.

Its last 5 years and quarters earnings were ahead of estimates.

Return on Equity (ROE) Per Share was 324.15, on Assets (ROA) - 26.47, on Invested Capital (ROIC) - 80.15.

SONY CORP Company (CNE) has to report its earnings 02/3/2011.

The Japanese name is Sony Kabushiki Kaisha. It makes digital and video cameras, Walkman stereos, TVs, and semiconductors. The company has more than 1,200 subsidiaries. Sony boasts music by Sony Music Entertainment, motion pictures - Sony Pictures Entertainment and Sony Digital Production, DVDs - Sony Pictures Home Entertainment, and TV programs - Sony Pictures Television.

It belongs to Consumer Goods sector.

During last 5 years, it was behind earnings estimates only twice.

DOW CHEM CO. (DOW) Company has to report its earnings 02/3/2011.

Dow Chemical is a leader in the production of plastics, chemicals, hydrocarbons, and agrochemicals. The largest chemical company in the US and worldwide, Dow also makes engineering plastics, polyurethanes, and materials for Dow Automotive. The company also manufactures commodity chemicals and agrochemicals. Hydrocarbons and Energy unit makes olefins and aromatics, raw materials for other chemicals. Dow owns half of silicone products maker Dow Corning.

Its sector is Basic Materials.

For last 5 years and 5 quarters, the company was not beat estimates only once.

Return on Equity (ROE) Per Share was 2.21, on Assets (ROA) - 4.57, on Invested Capital (ROIC) - 4.80.

LAUDER ESTEE INC. (EL) Company has to report its earnings 02/3/2011.

Este Lauder sells cosmetics, fragrances, and skin care products. The firm operates a chain of freestanding retail stores, primarily for its M.A.C, Origins, and Aveda brands. The founding Lauder family controls about 77% of its voting shares.

It belongs to Consumer Goods sector.

For 5 last years it was not beat estimates twice.

NEW YORK TIMES CO. (NYT) Company has to report its earnings 02/3/2011.

The New York Times Company publishes The New York Times, one of the world's most respected newspapers having a circulation about 950,000. It also owns The Boston Globe and the Worcester Telegram & Gazette in Massachusetts. International Herald Tribune publishes its newspaper for English readers in 180 countries.

The company belongs to Services sector.

For last 5 years it was behind its estimates only once in 2007.

TOYOTA MOTOR CORP. (TM) Company has to report its earnings 02/3/2011.

Toyota Motor, the world's largest automotive manufacturer, designs and manufactures luxury and sports vehicles, SUVs, trucks, minivans, and buses. Its vehicles are produced with combustion or hybrid engines also. It makes automotive parts for its own use and for sale to others. Popular models include the Camry, Corolla, Land Cruiser, and luxury Lexus. Asia generates almost 40% of sales.

The company belongs to Consumer Goods sector.

During 5 years, 3 times it was behind its estimates: in 2007, 2008 and 2009.

Return on Equity (ROE) Per Share was 2.12, on Assets (ROA) - 1.93, on Invested Capital (ROIC) - 1.03.

TYSON FOODS INC. (TSN) Company has to report its earnings 02/4/2011.

This is one of the largest US chicken producers. Its Tyson's Fresh Meats division makes it a giant in the beef and pork sectors as well. The company offers also value-added processed and pre-cooked meats, and refrigerated and frozen prepared foods. Tyson processes 41 million chickens, 393,000 head of pork, and 139,000 head of beef every week. It operates at more than 90 other countries.

The company belongs to Consumer Goods sector.

For last 5 years Tyson was behind estimates 3 times.

, NY Stock Market Examiner

Semion Feldman is a stock market trader. A former software developer with a couple world level IT projects under belt (Internet trading platform, one of the biggest database migration in US, global mortgage framework in Israel). Within five years of changing Soviet Union, known as "Gorbachev Era...

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