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Deaths from heat predicted to increase by seven percent per year

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A research team from the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine and Public Health England has predicted that the number of heat caused deaths will increase by 257 percent by 2050 in the Feb. 3, 2014, edition of the British Medical Journal.

The researchers based their predictions on daily average temperature taken from the British Atmospheric Data Centre for the last two decades and population statistics taken from the Office of National Statistics.

People over the age of 75 will be most imperiled by the increases in temperature. An added concern for the elderly will be the continued increase in the cost of electricity and an increased demand for electricity for cooling during the periods of high temperatures.

The number of hot weather days is predicted to triple by 2080 while the number of cold weather days will decrease. The number of deaths is predicted to increase by two percent for every degree Centigrade increase in temperature.

At present the number of elderly that die from cold weather is greater than the number of elderly people that die as a direct result of hot weather.

While the data was prepared for Britain, the results are predicted to be similar for all countries across the world.

The rapid increase in the number of elderly from the baby boomer generation in the United States will face the same threats of heat related deaths and inability to afford electricity due to a fixed income.



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