The 2012-2013 TV season was a great year for the medium and produced a number of equally heart wrenching and laugh out loud moments. Tonight those moments are remembered as the 65th annual Primetime Emmys are handed out on CBS. While a number of historical firsts could occur tonight, many of the collective experts today over at awards site Gold Derby are playing it safe and predicting Emmy darling “Modern Family” will keep its win streak going, while on the drama side fan favorite “Breaking Bad” could steal the show.
It’s not unusual for experts to play it safe when it comes to the Emmys. Tonight’s just released batch of final predictions are right in line with traditional Emmy thinking, after all Emmy voters are notorious for voting for the same people every year. It’s actually become an industry wide running joke, however for as loyal as voters they are also easily distracted. Once they find a new favorite, they flock to it, but in a classic case of “having their cake and eating it to,” they also make sure to keep their old toy within reach.
Take for example of “The West Wing,” which is one of only four shows to win four consecutive Best Drama awards. When “The Sopranos” eventually broke “Wing’s” streak in 2004, voters kept nominating the Aaron Sorkin drama every year right up until it went off the air, but it never won the top prize again. After “Mad Men” was displaced last year in favor of “Homeland,” many are wondering if that same fate will befall the Matthew Weiner drama.
Over the last few weeks “Breaking Bad” has put on a TV master class every Sunday night and tonight the show is expected reap the benefits. While “Bad” is nominated multiple times for tonight’s awards, voters are actually supposed to be judging it based on last summer’s stellar eight episodes, but the show also has the advantage of the equally strong word of mouth around this summer’s even more stunning eight episodes. As a result, many believe Emmy voters will look to jump on the bandwagon and reward the show a full year earlier than expected.
If that happens as many experts are predicting, than it’s likely “Mad Men” will continue to fall by the wayside until it’s final season which now won’t occur until 2015, following this week’s announcement the show will split its final episodes into two batches.
On the comedy side, the Gold Derby collective of voters have “Modern Family” winning its fourth straight Best Comedy award, which would place it in elite company and just one win shy of tying “Frasier,” which holds the record for the most series win by comedy (or drama). Should “Family” not repeat, the odds seem to favor “Louie” or “The Big Bang Theory,” with last year’s favorite runner-up “Girls” tumbling in the rankings!
Yet the real race to keep a eye on is in supporting actor as two-time winner Eric Stonestreet was slighted this year, which could open the door to co-star Ed O’Neill finally being recognized for his peers, if Ty Burrell doesn’t pick up his second trophy.
The drama side also has its own strong supporting races and in what promises to be the closest race of the night “Breaking Bad” stars Aaron Paul and Jonathan Banks will go head to head along with previous winner Peter Dinklage from “Game of Thrones,” “Homeland’s” powerhouse Mandy Patinkin, “Boardwalk Empire” villain Bobby Cannavale and “Downton Abbey” favorite Jim Carter. Experts have Paul as the leader, but Banks and Patinkin as the sentimental favorites.
For a full breakdown of the nine top Emmy categories click below:
- Best Comedy
- Best Actor (Comedy)
- Best Actress (Comedy)
- Best Drama
- Best Actor (Drama)
- Best Actress (Drama)
- Best Made For TV Movie/Mini-Series
- Best Actor (Made For TV Movie/Mini-Series)
- Best Actress (Made For TV Movie/Mini-Series)
The 65th annual Primetime Emmy Awards air tonight on CBS.