The oceanic low pressure area that brought significant snowfall to portions of the region yesterday was well over the Gulf of Maine early this morning. Brisk westerly flow was beginning to establish itself behind this weather maker. In addition, remnant upper level low pressure was clearly evident over northern New York state and southeastern Canada this morning.
The upper level system will remain in place over the same general area through the end of the work week. Even though the region will see intervals of clouds and sunshine during the daylight hours, the instability produced by the colder air in the upper levels of the atmosphere (a result of the upper level low pressure area) will bring the outside chance of some snow and/or rain showers to the region from time to time. This will especially be the case today. In addition, lake effect snow will be ongoing to our west, as ideal conditions for snow production off of lake Ontario materialize. Some fragments of lake effect snow bands may impact portions of the Capital Region as well during the course of the day today.
As the work week draws to a close, high pressure slowly builds into the area and thus conditions should begin to stabilize. With all the snow still on the ground, temperatures will be hard pressed to reach seasonal averages through the weekend. Overnight lows may be quite chilly as well, as the snow pack will help aid in low level cooling overnight, particularly should the skies clear and the winds slacken off.
We continue to monitor the potential development of another storm over the southeastern states on Sunday. At this point, the storm looks to remain, and to track, well south of our region. There is the potential that the Capital Region may reside on the northern edge of the precipitation shield associated with the storm. Should this be the case, the potential would once again exist for a mix of snow and rain showers over the region to start the new work week. Stay tuned for later updates.
...Below is the official forecast for the Capital Region and vicinity...
Today: Morning flurries giving way to intervals of clouds and sunshine. A slight chance of a snow and/or rain shower during the afternoon. Becoming breezy. High in the upper 30’s. West winds 10-20 MPH with some higher gusts to near 25 MPH possible at times. Chance of precipitation is 30 percent. Little if any additional snow accumulation is expected.
Tonight: Mostly clear and cold. Low in the upper teens. Light west winds.
Thursday: Partly sunny. High in the mid 30’s. Northwest winds 5-10 MPH.
Thursday Night: Partly cloudy. Low near 20. Light west winds.
Friday: Mostly sunny, and becoming breezy during the afternoon. High near 40. Northwest winds 10-15 MPH.
Saturday: Mostly sunny and breezy. High near 45 and low near 25.
Sunday: Mostly sunny and breezy. High near 45 and low near 30.
Monday: Overcast with a 40 percent chance of rain and/or snow showers. High near 45 and low near 30.