The jet stream, or upper level steering winds for surface weather systems, will feature a rather zonal, or west to east, configuration for the next several days. In addition, these upper level winds will be quite strong and energetic, riding essentially along the United States and Canada international border. Several systems will ride from west to east, steered by the jet stream, across the northern portions of the Continental United States, through the coming weekend and into early next week.
One such system was presently sliding through the Capital Region at about the time this forecast package was being prepared early this morning. A secondary cold front, associated with some cooler Canadian air, will accelerate through the region later today and overnight tonight. A better chance of showers looks to be in the offing with this feature, compared to the drizzle and light shower activity associated with its predecessor. Some heavier rain showers may occur, especially over areas north and west of the immediate Capital Region. Temperatures will be a good 5 to 10 degrees above normal today, and near seasonal averages by tomorrow.
Several weak disturbances will parade through the region over the course of the weekend and into the new work week. Due to the fast moving nature of the systems, and the unimpressive moisture characteristics indicated, the region’s weather will become rather repetitive, with 24 to 36 hours of dryness, followed by a chance for some light rain and/or drizzle, as the system’s work their way through. Best chances for some precipitation look to occur north and west of the Capital Region.
Temperatures through the weekend and into next week will feel more like autumn, as they struggle to reach 60 degrees during the day, and fall into the upper 30’s to mid 40’s overnight. There may even be some wet snow flakes mixing in over the higher elevations, and portions of the Adirondacks this weekend. It is expected to remain too warm for such activity to translate into the Capital Region though.
...Below is the official forecast for the Capital Region and vicinity...
Today: Morning showers, drizzle, and clouds giving way to a mix of sun and clouds by afternoon. High 65-70. South wind this morning, shifting west by afternoon at 5-10 MPH. Chance of rain this morning is 30 percent.
Tonight: Increasing clouds with showers likely. Rainfall may be locally heavy at times. Low near 50. Variable winds, becoming northwest at 5-10 MPH after midnight. Chance of rain is 80 percent.
Friday: A chance of showers in the morning. Otherwise, becoming mostly sunny, breezy, and cooler. High in the mid 60’s. Westerly winds 10-20 MPH with some higher gusts possible at times. Chance of rain in the morning is 20 percent.
Friday Night: Mostly clear. Low near 40. Light and variable winds.
Saturday: Mostly sunny to start with increasing clouds during the afternoon. High 60-65. Southwest winds 5-15 MPH.
Sunday: Partly sunny, breezy, and cooler. High near 60 and low near 40.
Monday: Partly sunny and breezy. High near 55 and low near 35.
Tuesday: Partly sunny and breezy. High near 55 and low near 40.
Wednesday: Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. High near 55 and low near 35.