A Winter Storm Watch remains in effect for the Capital Region from Thursday morning through Friday morning. A Winter Storm Warning has been issued for areas south and east of the Capital Region, including the mid and lower Hudson Valley, and western New England, from 7 AM EST Thursday through 10 AM EST Friday.
High pressure will drift off the Atlantic coast today, allowing the region to slowly come under the influence of a developing coastal storm, presently gathering strength over the Louisiana Gulf Coast early Wednesday morning. A weaker area of low pressure was also descending southeastward, from the upper Midwest. This weaker system is forecast to interact, and add energy to, the coastal storm by early Thursday morning, with redevelopment over the Carolina coast by that time, along with rapid intensification of the low pressure area.
Snowfall is expected to begin in the Capital Region during the mid to late morning hours on Thursday, and to last through the overnight hours. Snow may come down heavily at times, especially south and east of the immediate Capital Region, closer to the Atlantic coast. Snow intensity should begin to wane during the late night Thursday and early on Friday as the storm moves north and east of Cape Cod. Winds will pick up a bit on Friday, in the wake of the storm, but skies should slowly begin to clear as steady snow becomes flurries and scattered snow showers.
Clouds will hang tough over the region to start the weekend, as a weak upper level disturbance swings through to the north of the region. High pressure will build in to close out the weekend, returning the region to fair skies and temperature moderation in time for another potential storm to impact the area during the early portions of the new work week. Temperatures may be warm enough by the time this storm reaches the area, for the predominant precipitation type to change from snow to start, to just plain liquid rain.
...Below is the official forecast for the Capital Region and vicinity...
Today: Mostly sunny and cold. High near 25. Variable winds 5-10 MPH.
Tonight: Mostly clear to start with increasing high clouds late at night. Low 10-15. Light and variable winds.
Thursday: Increasing, thickening, and lowering clouds during the morning. Periods of snow developing by late morning. High in the lower 30’s. Northerly winds 5-15 MPH. Chance of snow is 90 percent. Snowfall accumulations of 3 to 6 inches possible, with higher amounts south and east of the immediate Capital Region.
Thursday Night: Periods of snow diminishing to snow showers and flurries after midnight. Low near 25. North to northwest winds 10-15 MPH. Chance of snow is 90 percent. Additional snowfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches possible, with higher amounts possible south and east of the immediate Capital Region.
Friday: Morning snow showers and flurries giving way to a mix of sun and clouds by afternoon. Windy. High in the mid 30’s. West winds 10-20 MPH with some higher gusts. Chance of morning snow is 40 percent. Total storm accumulations of 6 to 12 inches, with higher amounts possible south and east of the immediate Capital Region.
Saturday: Partly sunny and breezy. High near 30 and low near 10.
Sunday: Mostly sunny and breezy. High near 25 and low near zero.
Monday: Mostly sunny. High near 35 and low near 25.
Tuesday: A 40 percent chance of rain and snow. High near 40 and low near 20.