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Chesapeake Bay weather for February 6: mostly sunny and cold

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Brian's exclusive forecast for Baltimore, Annapolis, and northern Delmarva:

This afternoon: Mostly sunny and brisk with a high around 35.

Tonight: Clearing and chilly with a low in the lower to middle 20s.

Friday: Mostly sunny and seasonably cool with a high near 40.

Friday Night: Mostly clear with a low in the upper 20s.

Saturday: Increasing clouds with a few afternoon snow showers. The high will be in the upper 30s. Clouds and sun on Sunday with a few afternoon or evening snow showers. The low will be in the upper 20s and the high will be in the upper 30s. Mostly sunny on Monday with a low in the upper 20s and a high in the upper 30s.

Cold high pressure is producing a sunny, but seasonably chilly day on the Chesapeake. Morning lows had dropped into the upper 20s to lower 30s, and highs this afternoon are expected to climb into the mid and upper 30s. Temperatures overnight will settle back into the middle 20s. Some colder locations may bottom-out in lower 20s. On Saturday, a weak area of low pressure will move northeast and exit off the North Carolina coastline. This low is the same system that computer forecast models had predicted might form into a powerful eastern snowstorm; however, this low will have limited energy and moisture. Consequently, any precipitation that falls will be very light. The field of precipitation looks to brush southern Maryland and the lower Eastern Shore, as well as Hampton Roads in Virginia. As a result, it appears that snowfall on Saturday in the Annapolis area will be limited to snow showers or flurries. A slight northward track of the low may bring a round of light snow to the region, but that appears unlikely at the moment. On Sunday, another area of low pressure will skirt across the Appalachian Mountains and move just to our north. This system will contain limited amount of moisture. As with the Saturday system, snow showers or flurries appears to be the likely result with a slight chance of a bit more accumulation. Temperatures will be cold enough over the weekend to support all snow in the region. Moving into early next week, cold high pressure will ensure a continuation of below-normal temperatures. A storm system may impact the area by the middle of next week.

On the Maryland portion of Chesapeake Bay, no advisories are currently in effect. Winds today will come out of the northwest at 10 knots with waves less than one foot in ice-free waters. Winds tonight will come out of the northwest at 10 knots or less with waves less than one foot in ice-free waters. Winds on Friday will come out of the west at 10 knots or less with waves less than one foot in ice-free waters. Boaters should prepare for icy conditions on the bay. Marine information is provided as general guidance. Boaters should always stay tuned to the latest forecasts and advisories from the National Weather Service.

The average high temperature for February 6 is 43 degrees and the average low is 25 degrees. The records at Baltimore on this date are 72 degrees in 2008 and 1 degree in 1895. Today's sunrise will occur at 7:09 and the sunset will occur at 5:33. Weather data courtesy of the National Weather Service. For more weather updates, please visit my Chesapeake Bay Weather page on Facebook, and if you're heading to Ocean City feel free to check out my Ocean City MD Weather page on Facebook. You can also follow me on Twitter @chesbayweather.

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