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Chesapeake Bay weather for February 22: sunny, mild, pleasant Saturday

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Brian's exclusive forecast for Baltimore, Annapolis, and northern Delmarva:

Today: Mostly sunny and pleasant with a high around 55 (a bit milder inland and a bit cooler along the bay shore).

Tonight: Mostly clear with a low in the upper 30s.

Sunday: Mostly sunny and mild with a high around 55.

Sunday Night: Variable cloudiness with a scattered rain or snow shower. The low will be around 35.

Monday: Morning clouds, then more sunshine along with seasonable temperatures. The high will be in the mid to upper 40s.

The extended forecast calls for a sunny sky followed by clouds on Tuesday with a low in the mid 30s and a high in the lower 40s. A chance of rain or snow early Wednesday, then clouds and sun later in the day. The low will be in the lower 30s and the high will be in the upper 30s. Mostly sunny and cold on Thursday with a low in the mid 20s and a high in the mid 30s. Mostly sunny and cold on Thursday with a low in the mid 20s and a high in the mid 30s.

Temperatures overnight settled back into the lower and middle 30s around the Annapolis area. Under the influence of high pressure, we will see plenty of sunshine today along with above-average temperatures. By later this afternoon, readings will top 55 degrees at many locations. Some inland spots may hit 60, but right along the bay shore we can expect slightly cooler conditions. The center of high pressure will gradually shift east overnight and into Sunday, but its influence will continue with more sunshine and highs in the 50s on Sunday. Meanwhile, a cold front is expected to move from west to east across the area by early Tuesday. Precipitation associated with the front may fall in the form of scattered rain and snow showers, but no accumulation is expected as temperatures will be marginally cold and the system will contain little moisture. The air behind the front will be cooler, but seasonable with highs in the 40s on Monday. As we move through the week, two main weather features will impact the Middle Atlantic states. One will be the return of arctic air that will surge toward the coast and plunge temperatures 10 to 15 degrees below average. Another will be the potential for a moderate snow event by the middle of the week as low pressure forms just off the North Carolina coastline and spreads moisture into the Chesapeake Bay region. This is not expected to be a major storm, but an accumulation of snow is possible in Washington, Annapolis, and Baltimore on Wednesday. Thereafter, our weather will be calm but very cold with highs only in the 30s on Thursday and Friday.

On the Maryland portion of Chesapeake Bay, there are no advisories in effect for today. Winds today will come out of the south at 10 knots with waves from 1 to 2 feet. Winds tonight will come out of the south at 10 knots with waves around one foot. Winds on Sunday will come out of the southwest at 10 knots with waves from 1 to 2 feet. Winds on Sunday night will come out of the northwest at 10 knots with waves around one foot. Winds on Monday will come out of the northwest at 10 to 15 knots with gusts over 20 knots and waves from 1 to 3 feet. Marine information is provided as general guidance. Boaters should always stay tuned to the latest forecasts and advisories from the National Weather Service.

The average high temperature for February 22 is 47 degrees and the average low is 28 degrees. The records at Baltimore on this date are 74 degrees in 1874 and 7 degrees in 1963. Today's sunrise will occur at 6:49 and the sunset will occur at 5:51. Weather data courtesy of the National Weather Service. For more weather updates, please visit my Chesapeake Bay Weather page on Facebook, and if you're heading to Ocean City feel free to check out my Ocean City MD Weather page on Facebook. You can also follow me on Twitter @chesbayweather.

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