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Chesapeake Bay weather for February 15: Saturday snow showers, then sunny Sunday

Brian's exclusive forecast for Baltimore, Annapolis, and northern Delmarva:

National Weather Service forecast map
Map courtesy National Weather Service

Tonight: Mostly cloudy and windy at times with lows in the mid to upper 20s.

Sunday: Mostly sunny and cold with a high in the mid 30s.

Sunday Night: Mostly clear and cold with a low from 18 to 23.

Monday: Mostly sunny and cold with a high from 30 to 35.

Monday Night: Increasing clouds with a period of snow or snow showers. Low around 30.

The extended forecast calls for morning snow on Tuesday followed by sunshine. The low will be around 30 and the high will be near 45. Mostly sunny on Wednesday with a low around 30 and a high near 50. Mostly sunny on Thursday with a low around 32 and a high near 55. Clouds and sun on Friday with a chance of rain showers. The low will be around 40 and the high will be near 60.

A weak area of low pressure brushed the Middle Atlantic region today with light, wet snowfall with minimal accumulations. A secondary low developing off the Virginia coastline will become a powerful storm and produce heavy snow with blizzard conditions in eastern New England. Closer to home, light snow showers are currently dissipating and we can expect a cloudy but quiet evening with temperatures in the lower 30s. Gusty winds will make it feel colder at times, and the mercury will dip into the 20s later this evening. Lows by Sunday morning may be as low as the upper 10s in some areas, with lower 20s closer to the bay shore. High pressure will provide bright sunshine on Sunday and Monday, but it will be quite cold with highs each day only around 32 degrees. Overnight lows will drop into the teens again by early Monday morning. Meanwhile, yet another area of low pressure will move across the region late Monday into Tuesday. Precipitation associated with the low will fall in the form of snow from Annapolis northward. Current computer forecast models indicate the potential for 1 to 3 inches of snow in the area, with 3 to 6 inches across northern Maryland. After the snow comes to an end on Tuesday, the sun will break through the clouds and temperatures will climb into the upper 30s to lower 40s. This will signal a break in the winter weather pattern as temperatures will continue to rise throughout the week. Highs on Wednesday and Thursday may break into the 50s and highs on Friday may touch 60 degrees.

On the Maryland portion of Chesapeake Bay, a Gale Warning is in effect until 10 p.m. this evening. A Small Craft Advisory is in effect from 10 p.m. this evening through Sunday morning. Winds tonight will come out of the northwest at 10 to 20 knots with gusts over 30 knots and waves from 1 to 3 feet. Winds on Sunday will come out of the northwest at 10 to 15 knots with gusts over 20 knots and waves from 1 to 3 feet. Winds on Monday will come out of the north at 10 knots with waves around one foot. Winds on Monday night will come out of the southwest at 10 knots with waves around one foot. Visibility may be reduced in snow and fog. Winds on Tuesday will come out of the south at 10 knots with waves less than one foot. Boaters should prepare for icy conditions on the bay. Marine information is provided as general guidance. Boaters should always stay tuned to the latest forecasts and advisories from the National Weather Service.

The average high temperature for February 15 is 45 degrees and the average low is 27 degrees. The records at Baltimore on this date are 77 degrees in 1949 and 18 degrees in 1943. Today's sunrise will occur at 6:58 and the sunset will occur at 5:43. Weather data courtesy of the National Weather Service. For more weather updates, please visit my Chesapeake Bay Weather page on Facebook, and if you're heading to Ocean City feel free to check out my Ocean City MD Weather page on Facebook. You can also follow me on Twitter @chesbayweather.

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