When the Denver Broncos face the Jacksonville Jaguars this Sunday afternoon from Sports Authority Field at Mile High it will truly be the NFL version of David vs. Goliath. The best team in the league, the Denver Broncos will be facing the worst team, the Jacksonville Jaguars and Las Vegas odds makers have set the bar high – as in record breaking high!
According to an ESPN report on Oct 7, Denver is posted as a whopping 28 point favorite vs. the Jags.
According to The Gold Sheet, a sports-betting publication that has been tracking point spreads since the 1950s, that number ties the highest spread of all time, set by the Baltimore Colts over the expansion Atlanta Falcons in 1966. The Falcons covered. It is the highest since the AFL-NFL merger in 1970.
"The Jaguars are just so awful, and the interest in betting on the Broncos has been pretty consistent," Jay Kornegay, who runs the sports book at the Las Vegas Hotel, said Sunday night. "There's a group of us here who put together the lines for each week, and it took us 10-15 minutes to debate what this number would be. Some folks didn't feel that good about making history with this."
If you like to wager on football in Vegas you know that it’s hard to lay 14 points to anyone, but 28? Have sports books lost their minds?
Well maybe, maybe not.
On paper this should be an easy win for Denver, and it probably will, but the Vegas line is a different animal. Remember in this game it's not who wins, but by how many. Over the last 10 years, teams that are -14 points or more only cover the spread 39% of the time.
The Jags may be a bad team, but to come right out and say the Broncos will win by 30 or more may just light a spark we haven't seen out of Jacksonville this season.