There’s nothing like the ever changing landscape of college football. Earlier I wrote Boise State heading to the Armed Forces Bowl; however, that was dependent on the outcome of a few other regular season games. All possible outcomes went as predicted, except for one. Fresno State was unable to hold up their end against San Jose State, which turned everything around in the Mountain West Conference. The loss did nothing to change their conference championship appearance but changed everything in the bowl predictions.
With Fresno State’s loss to San Jose State, 62 – 52, they were knocked out of the BCS show and into the running for the Las Vegas Bowl, which is reserved for the Mountain West champion. This also means Boise State probably doesn’t end up in the Armed Forces Bowl against Navy as I previously wrote. The likely location for Boise State is now the New Mexico Bowl. This bowl is reserved for the number four team in the conference and the Mountain West opponent is typically the seventh best team in the PAC-12 as long as there are seven bowl eligible teams in that conference. The PAC-12 conference currently sports nine teams that are bowl eligible with six wins or more. The seventh spot is up for grabs as there are three teams tied. Oregon State, Washington State, and Arizona.
The easy part of this prediction is which bowl game it will be. Boise State will likely end up in the New Mexico Bowl. There is always the possibility of winding up on their home field for the Idaho Potato Bowl simply for ticket sale purposes but I am sticking with the New Mexico Bowl. The opponent; however, could get trickier to predict.
With the three teams currently tied for the seventh spot, Arizona seems to be the better team at 7 – 5. The other two are 6 – 6. I am sure the bowl organizers would much rather market the better matchup, which in my mind is Arizona and Boise State. We cannot rule out Oregon State either as there is some history between the Beavers and the Broncos. That said my prediction for the Boise State Broncos is the New Mexico Bowl against the Arizona Wildcats.
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