71% - ACE and Oscar winners match.
When ACE and Oscar nominations match 5/5, the winners match 80%.
In the last 10 years, ACE and Oscar winners matched 90%, last year being the only non-match (The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo). We really can’t rule any film out at this point, since all Oscar nominees were also nominated for ACE.
Argo won the ACE Drama.
Silver Linings Playbook won ACE Comedy/Musical.
For the last 13 years that ACE has been split into 2 categories: Comedy/Musical and Drama. Comedy/Musical has only won the Oscar once (Chicago-2002). We could consider ruling out Silver Linings Playbook based on this statistic.
Life of Pi
I don’t see Life of Pi winning the Oscar for editing, because of the competition and also due to the fact that there’s not a ton of impressive editing going on. It’s a film that is wonderfully pieced together, though not the best of the year.
Silvering Linings Playbook
A lovely story told very well. The editing is fine, but it’s not Oscar-worthy
Zero Dark Thirty
This film tells a 12 year story in a matter of 2.5 hours with the last half hour taking place in, practically, real time. It would take a brilliant editing job to piece together a cohesive and compelling story given the length of time in years as well as all that took place during that time. It’s not full to the brim with goings on and happenings and, in fact, it might be a little slow in parts. The thing is, the hunt for Bin Laden was slow in parts and I think the film works.
Lincoln is a talkie bursting with historical detail that is edited together in order to make for an entertaining, suspenseful and enjoyable cinematic experience. Not everything is historically accurate and certainly the timing of the things isn’t exact, either. The thing is, if the movie were made in the same way the events played out in real life, it probably wouldn’t be nearly as fun.
Much like Lincoln, Argo is a historical film that is edited in such a way to improve the telling of the story in an entertaining and suspenseful way. For instance, there are many more things happening simultaneously in the film than actually did in real life. In this regard, Argo is more souped up than Lincoln, as it were. The thing is, it doesn’t really matter. It’s a harmless alteration and it completely works.