Costume Designers Guild
The CDG nominates 5 films for each of 3 categories: Period, Fantasy and Contemporary.
In the last 10 years, CDG and Oscar match 60%.
Since 2005, when the CDG went from 2 to 3 categories, the CDG and Oscar match 57%.
Period or Fantasy
In the last 12 years, 83% of the Oscar winners were Period films.
When CDG and Oscar do NOT match, the winner has always been a Period film.
When CDG & Oscar match, 67% of the winners would be Period films.
Jacqueline Durran – Anna Karenina has 2 nominees (Pride & Prejudice-2005 and Atonement-2007)
Eiko Ishioka – Mirror Mirror, who passed away last year, has 1 win (Bram Stoker’s Dracula-1992)
Colleen Atwood – Snow White and the Huntsman has 9 nominations (Little Women-1994, Beloved-1998, Sleepy Hollow-1999, Series of Unfortunate Events-2004, Sweeney Todd-2007, Nine-2009) and 3 wins (Chicago-2002, Memoirs of a Geisha-2005 and Alice In Wonderland-2010)
Pacco Delgado (Les Miserables) and Joanna Johnston (Lincoln) both have never been nominated.
Snow White and the Huntsman
There are legit costumes here, no doubt, and the designer is obviously respected by her peers. However, I don’t believe it quite stands up to the competition this year, nor does it stand out.
A worthy nomination as there are plenty of costumes from a specific period in time. If there were to be an upset, I could see Lincoln being it.
There are some flashy costumes here, though too flashy can be a bad thing. It’s a fantasy film, so the odds aren’t in its favor to win, though it did win the Fantasy category at the CDG. Mirror Mirror also makes up the 2nd Snow White film nominated for Oscar Costume Design this year.
A wonderful array of dirty and battle-worn costumes along with a smattering of elegance are all on display in this film. It’s not out of the ordinary for a non-CDG winner to win the Oscar. Along with Lincoln, Les Miserables has a slight chance of upsetting.
I think that, hands down, Anna Karenina is the deserved winner. Jacqueline Durran has done some incredible work in the past and I think, complemented by the fabulous production design and art direction, the costumes in this film will shine enough to win the Oscar.
PREDICTION: Anna Karenina