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Boston weather: Heavy rain for Monday night

The weather map for Southern New England at 2 p.m. EDT on April 7, 2014. Increasing clouds and windy conditions are expected.
The weather map for Southern New England at 2 p.m. EDT on April 7, 2014. Increasing clouds and windy conditions are expected.

Forecast discussion: A strong high pressure system settled over New England on Sunday. The high helped give us brilliant sunshine and diminished winds. Boston will have the pleasure of keeping this high over us until Monday. A developing low pressure system over eastern Texas will bring increasing clouds during the afternoon.

High temperature forecast for April 7, 2014

The low is going to bring some severe weather to parts of Louisiana, Tennessee, and Mississippi. The low will then work its way towards the Great Lakes, bringing heavy rain to the Mid-Atlantic. We will begin to see showers in Southern New England before midnight, with heavier rainfall during the overnight hours. It may still be raining hard as we begin the morning commute Tuesday morning. However, the cold front will begin to move offshore before noon. The precipitation will taper to showers and the cold front moves offshore. We should see some partial sunshine through Tuesday afternoon. Some areas may see an inch to an inch and a half of rainfall.

High pressure behind the front will bring some cooler air back into Southern New England for Wednesday and Thursday. High temperatures for both days will only be in the lower to middle 50’s. As winds turn back to the south, temperatures will reach near 60 degrees on Friday. However, a weak cold front will bring the risk of some showers Friday afternoon. Right now, only the American model is showing shower activity. Saturday looks good, as we will have mostly sunny skies. By next Sunday, limited sunshine will give away to cloudy skies, with some more showers by Sunday evening.

72 hour forecast:

Tonight: Partly cloudy with a low of 39.
Monday: Mostly sunny through the early afternoon, with increasing clouds the rest of the day. We will see a high of 55 with south-southeast winds of 14-19 mph.
Fenway Park Forecast (7:10 p.m. vs. Texas): Cloudy with showers arriving by 9:30 p.m., 49.
Monday night: Showers arriving between 8-10 p.m. and windy with a low of 45. Precipitation becomes heavy rain after midnight. Winds will come from the east-southeast at 17-22 mph. Patchy fog is possible after 2 a.m.
Tuesday: Moderate to heavy rain, before tapering to showers in the late morning. Showers end by the early afternoon with partial sunshine. We will see a high of 61.
Tuesday night: Partly cloudy before dawn and a low of 42.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny and cooler with a high of 53.
Wednesday night: Clear skies and colder with a low of 34.

Extended Forecast:
Thursday: Mostly sunny during the day, with increasing clouds in the evening. Highs 53-56, lows 44-47.
Friday: Overcast with possible showers arriving by the mid-afternoon. Highs 59-62, lows 42-45.
Saturday: Possible showers end by 3 a.m. and becoming mostly sunny. Highs 55-58, lows 39-42.
Sunday: Partly sunny through the morning, with cloudy skies in the afternoon and showers by 7 p.m. Highs 55-58, lows 41-44.

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