Forecast discussion: High pressure over Ohio at the moment will continue to give Boston a beautiful weekend. However, as we begin the workweek, we may see some showers on Monday, before seeing some cool weather on Tuesday.
The high will slowly move off to the Atlantic by tomorrow night, and we will begin to see some high level clouds move into the region. A cold front now just moving into northern Minnesota will help trigger some showers by late Monday morning. As the front passes through, we will see scattered showers into the evening. After midnight, the front will move offshore, and a new high pressure system will influence our weather.
However, this high will bring some pretty cool air down from Canada. Temperatures during the daytime will struggle to reach the middle 60’s. Overnight lows Tuesday night will fall into the middle to upper 40’s. However, as the high moves closer to the east coast, winds will turn back to a southwest wind, and temperatures will warm into the middle 70’s by next Saturday. The next chance for any precipitation will be Friday, as a cold front approaches New England.
The tropics are beginning to wind down, as we only have one active tropical in the Atlantic. At 11 a.m. Saturday, the last advisory was put out by the National Hurricane Center on Post-Tropical Cyclone Humberto. Despite keeping a well-defined circulation, Humberto lost all of its convection, which helps create strong thunderstorms around the center. The computer models suggest Humberto may re-form in the next couple of days, as the remnant low reaches warmer waters.
As of 8 p.m. EDT, Hurricane Ingrid was centered at 21.6N 94.7W, or about 180 miles east-northeast of Tuxpan, Mexico. Maximum sustained winds are at 80 mph, and is moving north-northwest at 7 mph. A Hurricane Warning is in effect for the area from Cabo Rojo to La Pesca. Based on visible satellite imagery, an eye can be seen, despite any confirmation from a hurricane hunter plane. The system remains over water, but many computer models can tell when the system will make landfall. They all do see a westward turn towards land, but the models disagree on how long before the center moves over Mexico. The system will reach its maximum sustained winds within the next 36 hours, before slowly weakening, as it moves closer to land. The forecast track has Ingrid moving over land around noon on Monday. The system will then weaken and dissipate over land.
72 hour forecast:
Tonight: Clear skies with patchy fog and a low of 53.
Sunday: Mostly sunny with a high of 74. Winds will come from the southwest at 9-12 mph.
Fenway Park Forecast (8:05 p.m. vs. New York Yankees): Partly to mostly cloudy, 65.
Sunday night: Partly to mostly cloudy with a low of 58. Winds will come from the west-southwest at 8-11 mph.
Monday: Overcast with scattered showers by the late morning and a high of 69.
Monday night: Scattered showers until 10 p.m. with clearing skies and a low of 48.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny and cool with a high of 64.
Tuesday night: Partly cloudy with a low of 48.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny. Highs 70-73, lows 51-54.
Thursday: Mostly sunny. Highs 72-75, lows 54-57.
Friday: Partly sunny with possible afternoon showers. Highs 73-76, lows 57-60.
Saturday: Morning showers before seeing partly sunny skies in the afternoon. Highs 74-77, lows 57-60.