A weakening disturbance to our north, responsible for bringing some light snow to the region overnight last night, will drift lazily away from the region through the day today. Incoming high pressure will take control of the weather, and the pressure difference between the respective areas of lower and higher pressure will ensure a fresh west to northwest breeze kicks up as the day wares on. In addition, some lake effect snow flurries and showers may wander down the Mohawk Valley through the day today, encroaching upon the Capital District at times. Nothing of major significance is anticipated as far as snow accumulations, though further north and west, closer to the lee of lake Ontario in Oswego, Oneida, and Herkimer counties, snow’s may accumulate a couple inches.
High pressure will dominate the weather on Tuesday before another weak clipper-type low pressure area makes a run at the region on Wednesday. Once again, some light snow is all that is anticipated. This snow should be quite fluffy and ‘dry’ as the clipper should have little if any appreciable low level moisture to work with.
Another transitory area of high pressure builds into the region briefly on Thursday before the potential for a more significant weather maker impacting the region occurs to close out the work week. There is still a fair amount of uncertainty as to the ultimate track of the low pressure associated with this system, and the behavior of the system as it matures. This is pretty standard for this far out in a forecast though, so stay tuned through the week as details become clearer with regard to the track and intensity of this storm. At this point, it does appear safe enough to say that the Capital Region will see perhaps a mix of precipitation (between snow and rain) on Friday. The system should be relatively fast moving though, with colder and drier air funneling in as we head into next weekend.
...Below is the official forecast for the Capital Region and vicinity...
Today: Mostly sunny and blustery with a stray flurry or snow shower possible through the day. High in the mid 20’s. West-northwest winds 15-25 MPH with some higher gusts to near 35 MPH possible at times. Chance of snow is 20 percent. Little if any snow accumulation expected.
Tonight: Mostly clear and cold. Low 5-10 above zero. Light northerly winds.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny. High in the mid 20’s. Light and variable winds.
Tuesday Night: Mostly clear to start, with increasing clouds and a chance of light snow after midnight. Low 15-20. Light southerly winds. Chance of snow is 50 percent. A dusting to an inch of snow accumulation possible.
Wednesday: A chance of light snow in the morning, otherwise mostly cloudy. High in the lower 30’s. Northwest winds 5-15 MPH. Chance of snow is 30 percent. Little if any additional snow accumulation is expected.
Thursday: Mostly sunny. High near 30 and low near 20.
Friday: Overcast with a 60 percent chance of rain and/or snow. High near 35 and low near 20.
Saturday: Mostly sunny. High near 30 and low near 15.