Joe Duffy’s Picks free pick for Saturday is:
SAMFORD +10.5 Elon
Elon is is a dichotomous spread and straight up team. This means if a team is consistently winning outright but failing to cover or losing outright and covering, we ride the spread streak. This has proven to be a way to isolate over and undervalued teams.
They are 10-2 straight up at home, but 2-6 against the spread at home. They are 7-3 straight up in conference games, though 3-7 to the number. Samford owns an 8-3 straight up edge over the Phoenix. Samford matches up well. Earlier this season, they limited Elon, the league’s top scoring team at 77.1 points per game, to only 59 points and a 39.2-percent outing from the floor.
The Bulldogs’ 2013-14 roster is comprised of eight newcomers, six true freshmen, three sophomores and five juniors. This means a team that peaks late in the season and they are on a solid 5-3 run against the spread.
We also say handicapping is in big part the art of isolating under and overvalued teams. This is a meeting of both.
Joe Duffy’s Picks Samford +10.5.
Joe Duffy’s Picks hits our only bet on Arizona State winning as an underdog. Saturday, get 11 winners led by a Wise Guy play. It is one of the better portfolios this year. Get the picks now