The general consensus among gamers and analysts is that the Playstation 4 will outsell the Xbox One at launch due to its cheaper price, earlier North American launch date and a wave of good will for the next-gen console since was first announced. Baird analyst Colin Sebastian begs to differ though in a Friday report.
"While many forecasts still give an edge to Sony/PS4 in North America sales, we continue to expect similar or even slightly higher sales of Xbox One by the end of the launch window," Sebastian told GamesIndustry.biz.
Sebastian projects that both consoles will ship 1.5 million to 2 million in North America and 2.5 million to 3 million worldwide. This puts the total number of next-gen console sales in the 5 to 6 million range. The determining factor for which next-gen console "wins" the sales race at launch appears to be based on the supply chain more than consumer demand though.
"Retailers in our checks indicate there is consumer demand well in excess of supply, as evidenced by fast sell-outs of incremental unit allotments, such as at GameStop," Sebastian said. "Looking further ahead, we still believe a more accurate gauge of new cycle demand should be made after the initial sales window, dominated by core gamer fans."
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