In my final prediction of November 5 of last year, just one day before the election, I took into the account the best information on hand to project that Mitt Romney would win the election narrowly with 275 electoral votes and a slim majority of the popular vote. While Romney had surged to a large lead about 12 days before the election, it was widely believed that media reporting of Hurricane Sandy had taken the election contest off the front page of news papers and slowed down or even stopped Romney's momentum in the polls. President Obama's widely shown photo op with Governor Chris Christie in New Jersey quickly improved Barack Obama's image just days after he took some questioning over Benghazi. The more legitimate polls, including Gallup, show the race getting closer but still suggested a narrow Romney win.
By the states, my prediction was correct on 46 of the 50 states, and it was wrong only in four states – Virginia, Florida, Ohio, and Colorado. Mitt Romney won 206 electoral votes, which is 69 electoral votes short of the 275 I predicted. Those four states named above were worth 69 electoral votes for the 2012 election. These four states, in additional to many of the others, are states where the Tea Party movement is quite active.
Three Tea Party groups have been shut down in Pennsylvania as a result of the IRS harassing and delaying or denying their applications for tax-exempt status. Tea Party activist Jenifer Stefano, of Philadelphia, organized a group called The Loyal Opposition and filed an application for tax-exempt status with the IRS. It is one of three organizations in the state to be shut down as a result of the IRS targeting of such groups.
Pennsylvania's 20 electoral votes were won by Barack Obama by exactly 319,740 votes state-wide. Pennsylvania has 67 counties total which means Obama won by a margin of 4772 votes on average in each county. A total of 5,670,708 votes were cast in the election in Pennsylvania, and the 319,740 vote margin is 5.64 percent. My projection indicated 6.05 million votes were expected to be cast in Pennsylvania, while the actual total was 5.67 million or 380,000 few votes. I projected Obama to receive 3050866 votes and he actually received 2,990,274 votes while Romney received 2,680,434 votes. Clearly more active Tea Party groups across the state could well have accounted for an additional 350,000 to 400,000 more votes for Romney. That would have been enough to tip Pennsylvania narrowly to Romney. Pennsylvania was worth 20 electoral votes. Adding those to the the 206 electoral votes Mitt Romney won would bring the GOP nominee to 226 electoral votes.
Tea Party groups organized in Tampa Bay were targeted by the IRS. The Tampa chapter of the 9-12 group affiliated with Glenn Beck was singled out for IRS harassment over their application for tax-exempt status. Additionally, First Coast Tea party in Jacksonville and a Tea Party group in Orlando were also targeted. Activists reported several Tea Party groups being suppressed or intimidated from filing for tax-exempt status because of the IRS harassment.
Barack Obama won 50.01 percent of Florida's 8.4 million votes by a slim margin of just more than 74,000 voters state-wide, or a margin of 0.88 percent state-wide. There is no doubt that increase Tea Party activism in Florida could have added a few hundred thousand votes to Romney's total and won him Florida's 29 electoral votes. Even most of the last pre-election polls of Florida reported by the major pollsters show the state tied or leaning to Romney. The last Real Clear Average of polls of Florida showed Romney with a lead of more than two percent. Adding Florida's 29 electoral votes brings Romney's total to 255 electoral votes, or just 15 short of a majority in the electoral college.
Two groups in Colorado were targeted too. The Western Slope Conservative Alliance and the Colorado Tea Party Patriots applied for tax-exempt status and were targeted by the IRS. The Colorado Tea Party Patriots had their application forfeited by the IRS 22 months after they applied.
President Obama won the state of Colorado by just fewer than 138,000 votes, or 5.36 percent, out of 1.508 million votes state-wide. Clearly the level of Tea Party activity suppressed in Colorado could have translated into many more votes than the mere 138,000 votes by which Romney lost the state. Adding Colorado's 9 votes to Romney's total would bring up to 264 electoral votes.
In Western Virginia, the Shenandoah Valley Tea Party Patriots, was targeted by the IRS. The Manassas Tea Party was another group harassed and targeted by the IRS. The Manassas Tea Party, along with 26 other Tea Party groups, did receive their tax-exempt status in January of 2013. By no strange coincidence, that is conveniently AFTER the 2012 election. The Richmond Tea Party was also targeted, and the Virginia Tea Party Patriots, which represents 46 groups in the state, says several groups in Virginia were affected by the IRS targeting.
Virginia was won by Obama by 3.88 percent, or 149,298 votes out of 3.794 million votes cast state-wide. Given that several Tea Party groups were harassed in Virginia, it is easy to suggest that more than 200,000 additional votes could easily have been turned out in Virginia, allowing Mitt Romney to win the state. Adding Virginia's 13 electoral votes would raise Romney's total to 279 electoral votes.
In Ohio, a Tea Party group called American Patriots Against Government Excess was also targeted by the IRS. That story on the group reports that after February of 2010, the IRS tax-exempt division would not approve another Tea Party group for tax-exempt status until 27 months later. Those 27 months just happen to be AFTER the 2012 election, illustrating that the targeting of these groups and suppression of their activities clearly was intended to help the president get reelected in the 2012 election. It is estimated that 471 Tea Party and conservative groups, from across the country, were targeted by the IRS between 2010 and early 2012.
A group called the Portage County Tea Party in Ohio was also targeted. The Ohio Liberty Coalition also reports on Ohio Tea Party groups targeted by the IRS.
The votes in Ohio, as counted, showed Obama receiving 2.828 million votes, or 50.67 percent, to Romney's 2.661 million, or 47.69 percent. That is a margin of 2.98 percent in more than 5.489 million votes counted. My projection said Obama would win 2.61 million votes while Romney would win 2.79 million votes in Ohio. Obama's Ohio vote counted exceeded Romney's by only 166,114 votes state-wide. In state where 5.489 million votes constituted a turnout of about 67 percent of the state's eligible voters, meaning about 2.7 million eligible voters did not vote. The left of suppressed Tea Party activism, if it had not been suppressed, could easily have lead to at least 300,000 more votes for Romney, or plenty of votes for the GOP nominee to win the state on election day. When we add Ohio's 18 votes to Romney's total, we reach 297 electoral votes. That is 22 more electoral votes than I projected because it includes the 22 votes of Pennsylvania, which the Romney targeted heavily late in the campaign, that I had projected would still be won by President Obama on election day.
The president's administration engaged in a systematic and wide-scale suppression of Tea Party and conservative activity and votes, via the IRS targeting of those groups and other activities, that I believe clearly denied Mitt Romney the election that clearly would have won by about the very margin I predicted on November 5 of last year. The 2012 election is proven to be bogus, and I have no doubt that the Obama Regime stole that election with a variety of tactics and strategies that suppressed at least 7 million Romney votes across the country, as well as at least 2-3 million more votes gained in the Obama column via voters fraud in several key swing states.
In the officially reported results, Obama won the popular vote by 65.9 million votes to Romney's 60.9 million votes, or a margin of 5 million votes. I predicted Romney would win about 66.4 million votes to Obama's 64.1 million votes. If you remove the voter fraud-accounted vote from Obama's total and add the likely suppressed votes to Romney's total, you'd arrive at numbers quite close to that projection.
I was only wrong in those projections because I was not aware nor did I calculate in the voter fraud and the voter suppression, both of which exceeded the margin by which Barack Obama was declared the winner of that election last Fall. In the five states discussed about, Mitt Romney lost those states collectively by only 847,329 votes, or 527,589 in the other four states not including Pennsylvania, which are the very four states where I projected Romney winning and the official results shows Obama winning. The Obama Regime definitely won the election by suppressing Romney votes and supplementing the votes they won with massive voter fraud in the key swing states. An honest election free of voter fraud and vote suppression would have been won by Mitt Romney by a margin quite close to what I predicted.
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