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After a brief spell of milder weather, Arctic chill to invade for the New Year

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High pressure over the southeastern states will keep the weather generally fair today. A few clouds were streaming across the region this morning, associated with a low pressure over southeastern Canada. These clouds will dissipate through the morning hours as the system passes by well to our north. Meanwhile, further south over the Gulf of Mexico, a storm system visible on satellite imagery, was developing and gathering strength.

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The low pressure center associated with this storm system will move ashore, over Mississippi and Alabama Gulf coast regions this evening, the Carolina coast by Sunday morning, and the southern New England coast by Sunday evening. The Capital Region should begin to see precipitation from this system during the day on Sunday, which should start out in the form rain. By evening, as the low pressure area moves toward the region, and over the southern New England coast, rain may mix with snowfall, and may come down at a moderate to heavy clip at times.

The storm should move away quickly into the Canadian Maritimes by Monday morning. The Capital Region then experiences a cold frontal passage during the day Monday. This is an Arctic front, which will send temperatures on a downward spiral through the coming week. Bitterly cold air will seep into the region on the heels of gusty winds, snow showers and squalls, on Monday. This will be followed by well below normal temperatures, and several weak disturbances that bring the risk of snow showers to the region from time to time during the coming week. A lake effect band or two may also bring the Capital Region some snow showers from time to time to ring in 2014.

..Below is the official forecast for the Capital Region and vicinity...

Today: Mostly sunny. High near 40. Southwest winds 5-15 MPH.

Tonight: Partly cloudy at first, with increasing clouds after midnight. Low in the upper 20’s. Southwest winds 5-10 MPH.

Sunday: Increasing, thickening, and lowering clouds with periods of rain developing during the afternoon. High near 40. South winds 5-10 MPH. Chance of rain is 100 percent.

Sunday Night: Periods of rain mixing with and changing to snow before tapering off late at night. Low in the upper 20’s. Northwest winds becoming west at 10-15 MPH. Chance of precipitation is 70 percent. Light to moderate snow accumulations possible.

Monday: Snow showers and squalls possible, especially during the morning. Windy and turning sharply colder. Early highs near 30, with temperatures falling into the 20’s during the afternoon. Westerly winds 15-25 MPH with higher gusts possible at times. Wind chill temperatures of zero to ten above zero. Chance of snow is 40 percent in the morning, and 30 percent in the afternoon. Minor additional snow accumulation is possible.

Tuesday: Partly sunny, blustery, and colder with a 30 percent chance of a snow shower. High near 20 and low near 5.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny, blustery, and bitter cold with a 30 percent chance of a snow shower. High near 15 and low near 0.

Thursday: Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of snow showers. High near 15 and low near 5.

Friday: Mostly cloudy and cold with a 20 percent chance of snow showers. High near 15 and low near 5.

Useful links...

Capital Region Weather Examiner Home Page
Capital Region Weather Examiner Facebook page
Current Surface Weather Map
Weather Prediction Center (WPC) Surface Weather Map 48 hour loop forecast

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