There is a MODERATE RISK of severe weather today. Locally, the area of greatest risk will generally north of a line from Baton Rouge to McComb. Elsewhere, there will still be a SLIGHT RISK of severe weather.
Showers and thunderstorms are expected ahead of an approaching cold front. Some of these storms could become severe, with the main threat being damaging straight-line wind gusts. Louisiana
For southeast Louisiana and southern Mississippi, severe weather will be most likely late this afternoon and through the overnight hours across.
The overall thinking has not changed. SPC has a “moderate risk” of severe weather up for much of North and Central Mississippi, West Tennessee, Northeast Louisiana, East Arkansas, and the northwest corner of Alabama.
THE DAYTIME HOURS: We do not expect any severe weather during the day today; it will be warm and windy with a high in the low to mid 70s, right at record levels for late December. Our record high today of 73 (set in 1923) is in danger. A few passing showers are possible, but a decent part of the day will be dry.
A wind advisory is in effect for much of Mississippi today, as winds will average 12-25 mph with higher gusts.
Strong to severe storms will break out today over parts of Louisiana, Arkansas, Mississippi, and West Tennessee. If you are traveling west be aware that there is a significant severe weather risk in these states during the day; be sure you can receive severe weather warnings while you are on the road; Tune into.literocklesstalk.com as I will to on the air with updates.
The overall weather pattern for the eastern half of the nation is very, very messy today with snow and ice issues in the cold air sector of the storm from Oklahoma to the Great Lakes.
There is no need to compare this threat to historic threats like April 27, 2011. Those are rare events and are generational. I am reading way too much hyperbole on some sites about this threat. This is not unusual… this is the core of our fall tornado season in Alabama. Severe weather threats like this are common in November and December in Alabama. Just have a way of getting warnings, and have a plan, and you will be fine.
CALL TO ACTION: Be sure you and your family have a way of hearing severe weather warnings late tonight and during the pre-dawn hours tomorrow. NEVER rely on outdoor warning sirens; they are pretty much useless in homes, businesses, schools, and churches. They reach only a small number of people outdoors.
A NOAA Weather Radio is the baseline, but you need multiple ways of receiving warnings. Good smart phone apps like MyWarn and iMap WeatherRadio work very, very well.
Don’t forget you can get the latest watches and warnings on LiteRockLessTalk.com, on Picayune's New Internet Radio Station.