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2014: Predictions for United States politics

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It’s time for political predictions for 2014. When I see the lists of either ‘obvious’ political predictions or ‘absurd’ political predictions coming from the keyboards of other political writers, I realize that they don’t know any more than I do – so why not go for it and see if I can come up with predictions that are fulfilled by year’s end as well. After all, they have no more of a hotline to President Obama, Hillary Clinton or other political stars than I do. What the other writers who are making predictions and I have in common is that we watch politics every single day of the year – and we may have a sense as to what will happen in the coming year.

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Political Predictions for 2014

  1. Hillary Clinton will announce that she is running for president in 2016. Though Clinton will wisely be concerned about the Benghazi fallout she has experienced since September 2012 and be concerned that her ultimate opponent will highlight the fact that she really didn’t accomplish all that much as President Obama’s secretary of state over a four year period, she will cast those dispersions aside and count on her incredible name-recognition and popularity with the uninformed to announce that she will run for president in 2016. After seeing how Obama snatched the nomination from her 6 years ago, she knows first-hand that anything can happen – even a 2016 victory for herself.
  2. Obamacare (the Affordable Care Act) will cause increased political fallout for President Barack Obama and the Democrats in Congress in 2014. The reason is that young people will overwhelmingly choose to take the penalty rather than pay their otherwise assumed monthly health insurance premium rates. On the other end of the spectrum, senior Americans will pay the higher premiums for their much-needed health insurance with higher deductibles as resulted from the new health care law, and they will take out their severe discontent over the higher charges at the ballot box. Obamacare will continue to dictate a failed legacy for the president but will not necessarily increase the number of Republicans who are seated in Congress. The system will be inundated with people who qualify for free health insurance.
  3. Chris Christie will announce that he is running for president in 2016. So far Christie has made all the right moves in remaining a very moderate Republican. He even hugged President Obama just before the presidential election in 2012, as one will remember. Christie is the one Republican who is insightful enough to know that he must be an extremely moderate Republican if he is to win the GOP nomination in 2016. He is also the one Republican who has achieved a moderate stance among the masses. He’s been working at getting his current image for a long time, and in 2014 and beyond, he will find out his strategy is paying off.
  4. Congress’ current controls will remain much the same. After the 2014 elections, the United States House or Representatives will remain Republican-controlled and the United States Senate will remain Democratic-controlled. Despite the discontent with Congress on the media’s surface, too many Americans don’t know the issues and basically vote by name-recognition. Both Parties will continue to be guilty of having blind followers who don’t know the issues or much about their chosen-candidates before entering the voting booth. Incumbents will have as much of an edge, via name-recognition, as ever.
  5. Democratic discontent over the inevitable nomination of Hillary Clinton as the 2016 presidential candidate will be full-blown by year’s end. Though Clinton will survive the onslaught of dissention by her Party’s concern that she – and even her husband - has too much political baggage to march on to the White House in 2016, the concerns about Clinton’s 2016 run will be nearly as big a story as her run for president will be, by year’s end. Much like the demise of Hillary Clinton’s presidential aspirations in 2008, it will ironically be women again who will lead the dissention against her – even though Clinton will continue asserting that it’s time for a woman president in the United States. She will continue her message that other countries have female presidents throughout the globe and she believes it’s time for the United States to have one also.
  6. The Republicans in Congress will continue to be critical of Obamacare and threaten to have the law undone and defunded, but Obama and his followers in Congress will hold on while thinking the program will one day see the success it won’t see in 2014. Information about the program will come via online posts rather than Obama or others in his administration facing the hard questions via news conferences.
  7. The immigration issue in the United States will remain unsettled and unsettling in 2014. Reasons for such an issue to be tabled for yet another year are that the lawmakers’ focuses will remain on the economy/national debt and unemployment.
  8. Same-sex marriage will continue to flourish throughout the country and continue to divide Americans via their religious beliefs. The issue will, however, remain a state’s decision as opposed to a federal decision for the entire country.
  9. Joe Biden will ultimately decide to not face Hillary Clinton in the 2016 presidential election. He will cite a desire to retire when announcing his decision. The truth, however, will be that President Barack Obama will lack public support of him over Clinton – as the president owes the Clintons for their assistance in getting him re-elected in 2012.
  10. Jay Carney, the White House press secretary, will quit his job in the White House. Rather than continue being the man who must face the press to defend the Obama administration and the president on a near-daily basis, he will announce his decision to leave the White House and quickly disappear from public view soon thereafter.

Here's hoping that our elected officials will serve their United States' citizens well in 2014.

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