Flight arrival time just one click away
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Bay Area (Map, News) - Bay Area fliers will soon be able to type in their trip’s airport, destination, airline and time to see how long their flight is likely to be delayed — even if it is still months away from takeoff.

A group of ex-Googlers in San Francisco conducted an extensive study of the nation’s weather along with federal airline and airport data. They found that the amount and extent of flight delays and cancellations is predictable based on weather history as well as airline and airport performance.

The company, WeatherBill, will launch a widget on its Web site this year that will serve as an air travel crystal ball. It will allow fliers to punch in the date and time of travel, start location, destination and airline they are using, and it will spit out the delay the passenger can expect, WeatherBill Vice President of Marketing Brenda Given said.

A Web widget is a small program that a person can easily download and place on their Web site, blog or home page.

The group used decades of data from the National Weather Service and the federal Bureau of Transportation Statistics for the research it will use for the Web site.

Dean Headley, co-author of the Airline Quality Rating, said that despite the study’s findings, he has his doubts about how accurate the system could be.

He said that while busy travelers would be interested in the delay predictions, leisure flyers would likely be willing to withstand a stronger likelihood of wait times if it meant a cheaper flight.

“It sounds like it’d be wonderful for those who travel a lot,” Headley said.

The WeatherBill study found what most Bay Area residents already know: There is a significantly greater chance of experiencing a weather-induced delay at San Francisco International Airport than Oakland or San Jose international airports.

Of the nation’s largest 59 airports, only Newark (N.J.) Liberty International Airport (50 minutes) and Chicago’s O’Hare International Airport (46.9 minutes) averaged longer weather-related delay times than SFO (45.5 minutes) for arrivals during the winter months, according to the research.

During the winter rainy season, travelers at SFO can expect flight delays of 4.5 minutes for each inch of rainfall on takeoff, and 19 minutes per inch of rainfall on arrivals, the study found.

In addition to rain, the study measured how temperature affects delays. Higher temperatures are likely to raise delays in the spring and fall, while hotter-than-normal conditions actually reduce delays in the summer and winter at the Bay Area airports, the research team found.

mrosenberg@examiner.com

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4:54 PM MST on Fri., Jul. 25, 2008 re: "It saves to fly out of San Francisco"

Examiner Reader said:
unfortunately, san francisco is a second rate, dirty, unsafe wanna-be city.

2 agree | 1 disagree
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1:11 PM MST on Fri., Jul. 25, 2008 re: "It saves to fly out of San Francisco"

Wai Yip Tung said:
Of course they do fly to New York.

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12:49 PM MST on Fri., Jul. 25, 2008 re: "It saves to fly out of San Francisco"

Examiner Reader said:
But the low cost carriers out of SFO do not fly to places like Chicago, New York, or do they?

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10:01 AM MST on Mon., May. 26, 2008 re: "Passengers are not happy with SFO"

Examiner Reader said:
truly poor vender selection,food services extremely limited.... one only needs to travel outside of the U.S. to make a comparison ie zurich, heathrow vender food serivice quite varied... services in sfo are sooo predictably bland off the shelf vendors and services... ray okamoto frequent flyer

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8:37 AM MST on Mon., May. 26, 2008 re: "Passengers are not happy with SFO"

Examiner Reader said:
I read this in the printed copy. It shows Philli coming in first. No wonder the managers at SFO are taking shots at the study. Not like SFO would be a jewel by the sea... but Philli?

7 agree | 8 disagree
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12:58 PM MST on Wed., Apr. 30, 2008 re: "Virgin takes off while competitors lay low"

Examiner Reader said:
I find Virgin America a bunch of fun to fly!

9 agree | 9 disagree
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11:38 AM MST on Mon., Apr. 21, 2008 re: "Lawsuit talk buzzing about airport noise"

Examiner Reader said:
Go for it! The noise over Montara and Moss Beach has become unbearable on some days. And the claim that the airport cares and calls back is BS. I have called them on really bad days and not once have they had the courtesy to return a call and discuss the issues. They deserve what is coming for them.

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5:26 PM MST on Thu., Apr. 10, 2008 re: "Bay Area reacts to rescheduling"

Examiner Reader said:
Once again the genius of the marketplace has brought us the current state of u.s. airlines. I suspect many of us flyers would be willing to pay a bit more not to be left waiting at the gate.

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7:03 PM MST on Fri., Dec. 21, 2007 re: "2 flights grounded at SFO"

Examiner Reader said:
southwest is super ghetto with the lack of seat assignments, while it's lax it is not efficient and planes look beat up and in poor shape

71 agree | 83 disagree
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1:00 PM MST on Fri., Dec. 21, 2007 re: "2 American Airlines flights grounded at SFO"

Examiner Reader said:
Southwest....is the only way to go!

91 agree | 96 disagree
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