It was simply ridiculous for Democrats to fight about race, but it’s more serious that they won’t disagree about Iraq. None of the Democratic presidential candidates – or congressional leaders – will acknowledge that the troop surge in Iraq creates the possibility that the United States could actually win the conflict and that their calls for hasty troop withdrawals may be misguided.

As Sens. John McCain, R-Ariz., and Joe Lieberman, I-Conn., observed on the first anniversary of President Bush’s surge announcement, if opponents of the surge had had their way, “Iraq today would be a country in chaos: a failed state in the heart of the Middle East, overrun by al Qaeda and Iran.”

For sure, the surge is working militarily – U.S. deaths are down 80 percent; civilian deaths, 75 percent; car bombs and suicide attacks, 60 percent. Al Qaeda terrorists are on the run. Iraqi security forces have expanded by 100,000 and are now in charge of half of Iraq’s provinces.

Politically, there is progress, too, especially at the provincial level. Former Sunni insurgents are cooperating with the United States, and Sunni politicians may rejoin the national government. Shiite militants have declared a cease-fire.

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It’s not victory. Political progress is slow. But Iraq is heading in the right direction. Democrats, however, insist on minimizing the success and advocating early timetables for full withdrawal of U.S. combat forces.

What would impress me – and other independent voters – is if Barack Obama or Hillary Clinton would say: “I was wrong. The surge has produced positive results. And, if they continue through this year, when I am elected I will take Gen. Petraeus’ advice about our troop deployments.”

Don’t hold your breath.

Morton Kondracke is executive editor of Roll Call, the newspaper of Capitol Hill.